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Do YM and ZN Move Together on 30-minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through September 30, 2026. Not a prediction.

E-mini Dow and 10-Year T-Note are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 1,506 time-aligned 30-minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

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Bars where both moved1,191
… and moved the same direction782  (65.7%)
Correlation of bar-to-bar changes+0.453

At 65.7% agreement and a correlation of +0.453, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 30-minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar-to-bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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