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Do SPY and YM Move Together on 5-minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through September 4, 2026. Not a forecast.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF and E-mini Dow are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 3,518 time-aligned 5-minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

A LiveCharts.AI chart with several indicator panels
Bars where both moved3,374
… and moved the same direction2,598  (77.0%)
Correlation of bar-to-bar changes+0.719

A coin flip would be 50%. At 77.0% and a correlation of +0.719, these two have a clear tendency to move together on this timeframe.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 5-minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar-to-bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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