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Do MCL (Micro Crude Oil Futures) and YM (Dow E-mini Futures) Move Together on 15 minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through November 2, 2026. Not a prediction.

Micro Crude Oil and E-mini Dow are often assumed to move in opposite directions. This measures it against 2,851 time aligned 15 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

Bars where both moved2,734
… and moved the same direction1,015  (37.1%)
Correlation of bar to bar changes-0.404
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart with several indicator panels
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

At 37.1% agreement and a correlation of -0.404, these two have a moderate tendency to move in opposite directions on this timeframe.

This is an inverse pair. When one rises the other tends to fall. Holding both is not doubling a bet — but it is not a complete hedge either, and the indicator pages below show where that breaks down.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

See LiveCharts.AI predicting both MCL and YM live — 7 day free trial →

How this was measured

Every 15 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

Questions traders ask

MCL 15 minute future bar prediction Yes. LiveCharts.AI predicts MCL on the 15 minute chart as on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, with the predicted indicators beside the predicted candles. Candlestick prediction →

Breakdown of recent price swings on Micro Crude Oil Futures today Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MCL chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →

Can AI predict Micro Crude Oil Futures prices? AI can give a prediction for MCL, not a certainty. LiveCharts.AI shows its measured record on Micro Crude Oil Futures next to each prediction, so its reliability can be checked. Can AI predict futures prices? →

More questions traders ask

Crude oil futures chart The LiveCharts.AI MCL chart shows the real Micro Crude Oil Futures candles together with the predicted next 30 candles and the predicted indicators, drawn ahead of the last bar on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour. Micro Crude Oil Futures predictions →

Oil and gas futures LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro Crude Oil Futures (MCL) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro Crude Oil Futures predictions →

Light crude oil futures Micro Crude Oil Futures (MCL) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent MCL predictions next to what happened. Micro Crude Oil Futures predictions →

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