Does MACD Agree on BTCUSD (Bitcoin) and ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures)? (5 minute Charts)
Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through October 23, 2026. Not a prediction.
MACD measures momentum, as the distance between two moving averages. This page asks a narrower question than the price comparison: when MACD moves on Bitcoin, does it move the same way on E-mini S&P 500?
| Bars where MACD moved on both | 9,099 |
|---|---|
| … and moved the same direction | 5,751 (63.2%) |
| Price correlation, same period | +0.402 |
Why this is not the same as the price question
Two markets can move together while their momentum, trend strength or volatility do not. A reading that agrees far less than price suggests is exactly where one market is losing steam while the other keeps going — and a reading that agrees more is tracking something shared that direction alone does not capture.
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