Do BTCUSD (Bitcoin) and ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) Move Together on 5 minute Charts?
Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through October 23, 2026. Not a prediction.
Bitcoin and E-mini S&P 500 are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 9,100 time aligned 5 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.
| Bars where both moved | 8,629 |
|---|---|
| … and moved the same direction | 5,528 (64.1%) |
| Correlation of bar to bar changes | +0.402 |
At 64.1% agreement and a correlation of +0.402, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.
Where the relationship breaks down
Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.
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How this was measured
Every 5 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.
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Questions traders ask
Intraday next 30 5 minute candles On the 5 minute BTCUSD chart LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 candles, about 2 hours ahead, and redraws them as each 5 minute candle closes. Candlestick prediction →
Bitcoin AI futures prediction tool LiveCharts.AI is an AI charting and prediction app built for futures day traders: live BTCUSD charts, predicted candles up to 30 bars ahead and an AI chat that explains the chart, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac. Futures prediction app →
How accurate are 30 bar predictions for BTCUSD? It depends on the chart and how far ahead. LiveCharts.AI publishes how often its recent BTCUSD predictions got the direction right, chart by chart, so you can compare before relying on one. Can AI predict futures prices? →