MNQ 1-Minute: Forecast vs What Actually Happened, September 4 2026 3:39 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Friday, September 4, 2026 at 4:09 PM ET. Measured from a recorded forecast and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a forecast and not trading advice.

At 3:39 PM ET on Friday, September 4, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 1-minute bars of Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Per-bar direction agreement	21/28 bars — 75.0%
Net direction from start	29/30 bars — 96.7%
Bars projected	30 × 1-minute
Price at forecast time	29,485.00
Where it actually ended	29,521.25
Where the projection ended	29,543.54
Size of the move	projected 58.54 vs actual 36.25 (1.61×)

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per-bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 75.0%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 96.7%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.61×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded forecasts are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The forecast shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.