Do MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) and ZN (10 Year Treasury Note Futures) Move Together on 30 minute Charts?
Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through October 15, 2026. Not a prediction.
Micro E-mini S&P 500 and 10 Year T Note are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 1,509 time aligned 30 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.
| Bars where both moved | 1,223 |
|---|---|
| … and moved the same direction | 794 (64.9%) |
| Correlation of bar to bar changes | +0.429 |
At 64.9% agreement and a correlation of +0.429, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.
Where the relationship breaks down
Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.
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How this was measured
Every 30 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.
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Questions traders ask
30 minute future bar prediction for MES On the 30 minute MES chart LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 candles, about 15 hours ahead, and redraws them as each 30 minute candle closes. Candlestick prediction →
Can AI explain the current MES price action? LiveCharts.AI is an AI chart reader and analyzer: on the MES chart it shows the predicted next 30 bars and the predicted indicators, and answers questions about the chart. AI chart analysis →
What does the next candle look like on MES next 30 bars? LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 candles of Micro S&P 500 Futures on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, drawn on the live chart. It is a prediction, not a certainty, so LiveCharts.AI publishes how its recent MES predictions compared with what happened. Candlestick prediction →