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Do MCL (Micro Crude Oil Futures) and YM (Dow E-mini Futures) Move Together on 30 minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through November 4, 2026. Not a prediction.

Micro Crude Oil and E-mini Dow are often assumed to move in opposite directions. This measures it against 1,517 time aligned 30 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart with several indicator panels
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.
Bars where both moved1,474
… and moved the same direction532  (36.1%)
Correlation of bar to bar changes-0.430

At 36.1% agreement and a correlation of -0.430, these two have a moderate tendency to move in opposite directions on this timeframe.

This is an inverse pair. When one rises the other tends to fall. Holding both is not doubling a bet — but it is not a complete hedge either, and the indicator pages below show where that breaks down.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

See LiveCharts.AI predicting both MCL and YM live — 7 day free trial →

How this was measured

Every 30 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

Questions traders ask

Intraday 30 minute future bar prediction On the 30 minute MCL chart LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 candles, about 15 hours ahead, and redraws them as each 30 minute candle closes. Candlestick prediction →

AI breakdown of Micro Crude Oil Futures distribution zones today Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MCL chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →

Predict next 10 bars Micro Crude Oil Futures Yes. LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted next candles of MCL to the right of the last bar, with their open, high, low and close, and redraws them as each candle closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Candlestick prediction →

More questions traders ask

Oil WTI LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro Crude Oil Futures (MCL) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro Crude Oil Futures predictions →

CME micro crude Micro Crude Oil Futures (MCL) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent MCL predictions next to what happened. Micro Crude Oil Futures predictions →

CME WTI futures settlement For Micro Crude Oil Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MCL chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro Crude Oil Futures predictions →

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