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Do ETHUSD (Ethereum) and MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) Move Together on 15 minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through November 2, 2026. Not a prediction.

Ethereum and Micro E-mini S&P 500 are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 2,851 time aligned 15 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

Bars where both moved2,747
… and moved the same direction1,781  (64.8%)
Correlation of bar to bar changes+0.405
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart with several indicator panels
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

At 64.8% agreement and a correlation of +0.405, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 15 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

Questions traders ask

15 minute AI price action for day trading On the 15 minute ETHUSD chart LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 candles, about 7 hours ahead, and redraws them as each 15 minute candle closes. Candlestick prediction →

Ethereum price prediction chart app LiveCharts.AI is a prediction app for Ethereum: open the ETHUSD chart on any timeframe and the predicted path appears next to the real one. 7 day free trial. Futures prediction app →

How does AI interpret ETHUSD candlestick charts? LiveCharts.AI is an AI chart reader and analyzer: on the ETHUSD chart it shows the predicted next 30 bars and the predicted indicators, and answers questions about the chart. AI chart analysis →

More questions traders ask

Ethereum futures price Open the ETHUSD chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Ethereum is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past ETHUSD predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Ethereum predictions →

ETHUSD stock LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Ethereum (ETHUSD) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Ethereum predictions →

ETHUSD future price Ethereum (ETHUSD) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent ETHUSD predictions next to what happened. Ethereum predictions →

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