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Do ES and MGC Move Together on 10-minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through September 11, 2026. Not a forecast.

E-mini S&P 500 and Micro Gold are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 4,425 time-aligned 10-minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

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Bars where both moved4,181
… and moved the same direction2,574  (61.6%)
Correlation of bar-to-bar changes+0.404

At 61.6% agreement and a correlation of +0.404, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 10-minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar-to-bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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