Do BTCUSD (Bitcoin) and MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) Move Together on 5 minute Charts?
Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through October 23, 2026. Not a prediction.
Bitcoin and Micro E-mini S&P 500 are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 9,100 time aligned 5 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.
| Bars where both moved | 8,639 |
|---|---|
| … and moved the same direction | 5,530 (64.0%) |
| Correlation of bar to bar changes | +0.401 |
At 64.0% agreement and a correlation of +0.401, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.
Where the relationship breaks down
Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.
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How this was measured
Every 5 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.
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Questions traders ask
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