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Do BTCUSD (Bitcoin) and ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) Move Together on 1 minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through November 5, 2026. Not a prediction.

Bitcoin and E-mini S&P 500 are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 45,477 time aligned 1 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

Bars where both moved39,989
… and moved the same direction26,205  (65.5%)
Correlation of bar to bar changes+0.418

At 65.5% agreement and a correlation of +0.418, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.

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Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 1 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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