Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through November 2, 2026. Not a prediction.
MACD measures momentum, as the distance between two moving averages. This page asks a narrower question than the price comparison: when MACD moves on Bitcoin, does it move the same way on E-mini S&P 500?
| Bars where MACD moved on both | 2,850 |
|---|---|
| … and moved the same direction | 1,849 (64.9%) |
| Price correlation, same period | +0.410 |

Two markets can move together while their momentum, trend strength or volatility do not. A reading that agrees far less than price suggests is exactly where one market is losing steam while the other keeps going — and a reading that agrees more is tracking something shared that direction alone does not capture.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Projecting MACD ahead Bitcoin Yes. Alongside the regular MACD, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted MACD for BTCUSD on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
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