NG (Natural Gas Futures) ATR: which timeframe is most reliable?
Natural Gas — ATR prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 56.1% | 51.8% | 83.3% |
| 5 Minute | 55.2% | 64.0% | 93.3% |
| 10 Minute | 58.9% | 67.7% | 13.3% |
| 15 Minute | 58.1% | 53.2% | 96.7% |
| 30 Minute | 51.0% | 48.9% | 70.0% |
| 45 Minute | 52.3% | 45.9% | 96.7% |
| 1 Hour | 51.7% | 51.2% | 40.0% |
Track record: does the ATR prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 63% | +21% | 271 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 14, 5:00 PM ET with NG's ATR at 0.04, it said lower 12 hours later (0.03); it was at 0.03 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 15 Minute at 96.7%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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