MCL (Micro Crude Oil Futures) ATR: which timeframe is most reliable?
Micro Crude Oil — ATR prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 44.6% | 53.7% | 60.0% |
| 5 Minute | 49.5% | 67.4% | 83.3% |
| 10 Minute | 52.9% | 51.1% | 63.3% |
| 15 Minute | 52.5% | 51.2% | 63.3% |
Track record: does the ATR prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 56% | +10% | 271 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 14, 5:00 AM ET with MCL's ATR at 0.53, it said higher 12 hours later (0.62); it was at 0.59 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5 Minute at 83.3%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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