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YM (Dow E-mini Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 11 2026 11:30 AM ET

Educational reference. Data through Friday, September 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 11:30 AM ET on Friday, September 11, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of E-mini Dow. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 11:30 AM ET
52,549.6652,638.0452,726.4211:30 AM2:00 PM
What actually happened — 11:30 AM to 2:00 PM ET
52,549.6652,638.0452,726.4211:30 AM2:00 PM
Per bar direction agreement18/29 bars — 62.1%
Net direction from start21/30 bars — 70.0%
Bars projected30 × 5 minute
Price at prediction time52,608.00
Where it actually ended52,664.00
Where the projection ended52,679.68
Size of the moveprojected 71.68 vs actual 56.00 (1.28×)
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · August 2026The LiveCharts.AI workspace with live charts
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 62.1%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 70.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.28×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

How accurate are AI price predictions YM? It depends on the chart and how far ahead. LiveCharts.AI publishes how often its recent YM predictions got the direction right, chart by chart, so you can compare before relying on one. Can AI predict futures prices? →

ChatGPT trading chart for Dow E-mini Futures Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live YM chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →

Continuous algorithmic updates for YM projections LiveCharts.AI updates the YM prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →