YM (Dow E-mini Futures) 10 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 21 2026 3:40 PM ET
At 3:40 PM ET on Monday, September 21, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 23 10 minute bars of E-mini Dow. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 14/22 bars — 63.6% |
| Net direction from start | 22/23 bars — 95.7% |
| Bars projected | 23 × 10 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 52,529.00 |
| Where it actually ended | 52,409.00 |
| Where the projection ended | 52,359.64 |
| Size of the move | projected 169.36 vs actual 120.00 (1.41×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 63.6%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 95.7%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.41×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
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Read and explain YM bars Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live YM chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →
Visualize possible future price bars for Dow E-mini Futures Yes. LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted next candles of YM to the right of the last bar, with their open, high, low and close, and redraws them as each candle closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Candlestick prediction →
What does the YM chart suggest for the next hour? LiveCharts.AI's chat reads the same YM chart you are looking at: ask where the prediction changes direction, what the predicted highs and lows are, or how today compares with yesterday. AI trading assistant →
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