MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 18 2026 10:46 AM ET
At 10:46 AM ET on Friday, September 18, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 18/29 bars — 62.1% |
| Net direction from start | 28/30 bars — 93.3% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,704.50 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,714.00 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,688.11 |
| Size of the move | projected 16.39 vs actual 9.50 (1.73×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 62.1%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 93.3%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.73×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
Live updating future candle feed on Micro S&P 500 Futures LiveCharts.AI updates the MES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
Is there an AI that reads MES charts? Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MES chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →
Does prediction accuracy depend on the timeframe for MES? AI can give a prediction for MES, not a certainty. LiveCharts.AI shows its measured record on Micro S&P 500 Futures next to each prediction, so its reliability can be checked. Can AI predict futures prices? →
More questions traders ask
S&P e mini futures For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Share market predictions Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent MES predictions next to what happened. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Yahoo stock price Open the MES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Micro S&P 500 Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past MES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →