MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 30 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 11 2026 6:00 AM ET
At 6:00 AM ET on Friday, September 11, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 21 30 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 13/20 bars — 65.0% |
| Net direction from start | 15/21 bars — 71.4% |
| Bars projected | 21 × 30 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,641.00 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,661.25 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,623.57 |
| Size of the move | projected 17.43 vs actual 20.25 (0.86×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 65.0%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 71.4%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.86×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
Questions traders ask
AI prediction reliability MES AI can give a prediction for MES, not a certainty. LiveCharts.AI shows its measured record on Micro S&P 500 Futures next to each prediction, so its reliability can be checked. Can AI predict futures prices? →
AI predictions as candles form for Micro S&P 500 Futures LiveCharts.AI updates the MES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
Chat with a MES trading chart Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live MES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →