MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 1 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 10 2026 4:23 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 4:53 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 4:23 PM ET on Thursday, September 10, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 1 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 4:23 PM ET

What actually happened — 4:23 PM to 4:53 PM ET

Per bar direction agreement	17/28 bars — 60.7%
Net direction from start	19/30 bars — 63.3%
Bars projected	30 × 1 minute
Price at prediction time	7,600.50
Where it actually ended	7,605.25
Where the projection ended	7,605.02
Size of the move	projected 4.52 vs actual 4.75 (0.95×)

The LiveCharts.AI workspace with live charts — Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 60.7%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 63.3%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.95×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See the aggregate measurements for MES 1 minute →

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

Will Micro S&P 500 Futures make a new high in the next 5 candles next 30 bars? Yes. LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted next candles of MES to the right of the last bar, with their open, high, low and close, and redraws them as each candle closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Candlestick prediction →

Ask an AI about this MES chart Yes. The LiveCharts.AI assistant answers from the MES chart on your screen, the recent bars, the predicted path and the indicators. It does not place trades or promise outcomes. AI trading assistant →

AI app for future price projection MES LiveCharts.AI is a prediction app for Micro S&P 500 Futures: open the MES chart on any timeframe and the predicted path appears next to the real one. 7 day free trial. Futures prediction app →