How LiveCharts.AI Forecasts Have Measured on MES 1-Minute, by Time of Day
Every forecast LiveCharts.AI produces is recorded — which means it can be graded. The table below takes 97 recorded MES 1-minute forecasts across 10 sessions, compares the direction each one projected against what price actually did 15 minutes later, and reports the agreement rate by time of day. Sample sizes are shown beside every figure, and the numbers firm up as more sessions are recorded.
| Session | Agreements | Directional agreement |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (9:30 AM – noon ET) | 13/27 | 48.1% |
| Early pre-market (3:00 – 9:30 AM ET) | 19/37 | 51.4% |
| All hours | 51/97 | 52.6% |
How this is measured
For each recorded forecast: the projected direction is the last predicted close versus the close at the moment the forecast was made; the realized direction is the actual close 15 minutes later, from bars recorded afterward. Same direction = agreement. Forecasts and outcomes with no net movement are excluded rather than counted either way.
What the split shows
Time-of-day differences are normal: the market's character changes between the open, lunch, and the close, and measured agreement changes with it. These are recorded outcomes for the window above — they move as conditions move, and no past rate promises a future one.
The forecasts themselves — the live projected bars — are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.