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MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 1 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 10 2026 2:37 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 2:37 PM ET on Thursday, September 10, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 1 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 2:37 PM ET
7,584.657,598.647,612.622:37 PM3:07 PM
What actually happened — 2:37 PM to 3:07 PM ET
7,584.657,598.647,612.622:37 PM3:07 PM
Per bar direction agreement17/28 bars — 60.7%
Net direction from start30/30 bars — 100.0%
Bars projected30 × 1 minute
Price at prediction time7,614.50
Where it actually ended7,587.75
Where the projection ended7,595.43
Size of the moveprojected 19.07 vs actual 26.75 (0.71×)

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 60.7%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 100.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.71×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See the aggregate measurements for MES 1 minute →

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

Short term price direction today for MES Today's and tomorrow's MES prediction is live in the LiveCharts.AI app; the record of past Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions compared with what happened is on the market page. Market prediction page →

How accurate are short term price predictions for Micro S&P 500 Futures? It depends on the chart and how far ahead. LiveCharts.AI publishes how often its recent MES predictions got the direction right, chart by chart, so you can compare before relying on one. Can AI predict futures prices? →

AI trading copilot for MES A screenshot in a general chatbot shows only one moment. LiveCharts.AI's chart chat reads the live Micro S&P 500 Futures chart, every new bar and its predicted next candles, so you can ask where MES is predicted to go. Chat with a trading chart →