MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 1 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 10 2026 2:07 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 2:07 PM ET on Thursday, September 10, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 1 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 2:07 PM ET

What actually happened — 2:07 PM to 2:37 PM ET

Per bar direction agreement	20/27 bars — 74.1%
Net direction from start	27/30 bars — 90.0%
Bars projected	30 × 1 minute
Price at prediction time	7,587.75
Where it actually ended	7,601.50
Where the projection ended	7,599.38
Size of the move	projected 11.63 vs actual 13.75 (0.85×)

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 74.1%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 90.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.85×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window — Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See the aggregate measurements for MES 1 minute →

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

AI market analysis tools for MES Yes. LiveCharts.AI predicts the MES chart up to 30 bars ahead on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac, with a 7 day free trial. AI trading software →

Instant AI chart explanation for MES LiveCharts.AI updates the MES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →

What is happening on the MES chart? Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MES chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →