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GC 30-Minute RSI: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 28 2026 12:00 AM ET

Educational reference. Data through Monday, September 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

RSI compares the size of recent gains with recent losses on a 0–100 scale. At 12:00 AM ET on Monday, September 28, LiveCharts.AI predicted where RSI would go over the next 29 30-minute bars of Gold. The second chart shows the RSI values the market actually produced over the same window. Both panels share one scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Predicted RSI — made at 12:00 AM ET
13.3129.3645.4012:00 AM2:30 PM
Predicted RSI · Predicted Avg
What RSI actually did — 12:00 AM to 2:30 PM ET
13.3129.3645.4012:00 AM2:30 PM
Actual RSI · Actual Avg
Per-bar direction agreement18/28 bars — 64.3%
Same side of the starting value22/29 bars — 75.9%
Bars predicted29 × 30-minute
RSI at prediction time18.43
Where it actually ended39.17
Where the prediction ended39.93
Size of the movepredicted 21.49 vs actual 20.73 (1.04×)
How closely the shapes match0.81 (1.00 = identical)

How this page is selected

Four measurements on the RSI line have to agree for a window to be shown. Per-bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the prediction and the actual reading moved the same way — here 64.3%. Same side asks whether both stayed on the same side of the starting value — here 75.9%. Size compares how far each travelled — here 1.04×. Shape measures how closely the two lines follow each other overall — here 0.81, where 1.00 would be identical. All four have to pass; agreeing on direction while badly missing the size or the shape is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. The prediction shown here had fully matured before this page was written, and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live predictions are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

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