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6E 10-Minute Bollinger Bands: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 28 2026 8:10 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

Bollinger Bands set an upper and lower band a number of standard deviations either side of a moving average. At 8:10 PM ET on Monday, September 28, LiveCharts.AI predicted where Bollinger Bands would go over the next 29 10-minute bars of Euro FX. The second chart shows the Bollinger Bands values the market actually produced over the same window. Both panels share one scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Predicted Bollinger Bands — made at 8:10 PM ET
1.141.141.148:10 PM1:00 AM
Predicted Middle · Predicted Upper · Predicted Lower
What Bollinger Bands actually did — 8:10 PM to 1:00 AM ET
1.141.141.148:10 PM1:00 AM
Actual Middle · Actual Upper · Actual Lower
Per-bar direction agreement22/29 bars — 75.9%
Same side of the starting value28/29 bars — 96.6%
Bars predicted29 × 10-minute
Middle at prediction time1.14
Where it actually ended1.14
Where the prediction ended1.14
Size of the movepredicted 0.00 vs actual 0.00 (0.85×)
How closely the shapes match0.83 (1.00 = identical)
A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window

How this page is selected

Four measurements on the Middle line have to agree for a window to be shown. Per-bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the prediction and the actual reading moved the same way — here 75.9%. Same side asks whether both stayed on the same side of the starting value — here 96.6%. Size compares how far each travelled — here 0.85×. Shape measures how closely the two lines follow each other overall — here 0.83, where 1.00 would be identical. All four have to pass; agreeing on direction while badly missing the size or the shape is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. The prediction shown here had fully matured before this page was written, and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live predictions are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

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