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What Does MESA Adaptive Moving Average Actually Read on YM 10-minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from 404 recorded values on E-mini Dow 10-minute charts through October 1, 2026.

The middle half of all readings sat between 51,379 and 51,791, with a median of 51,711.

MESA Adaptive Moving Average measures an average whose speed adapts to the market's own cycle. This page reports what it actually read on E-mini Dow 10-minute charts — not what it is supposed to do, but the distribution of 404 recorded values over the last 90 days.

SeriesMedianMiddle half 5th / 95thFull range
FAMA51,71151,379 – 51,79151,135 / 51,88251,103 – 52,139
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The median is the middle reading, so a single unusual session cannot drag it. The middle half is where MESA Adaptive Moving Average sat on half of all bars — the range you should expect to see most of the time on this chart.

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How this was measured

Every 10-minute bar of E-mini Dow recorded in the last 90 days was read, and the values grouped without smoothing or filtering. Series with fewer than 400 readings are omitted rather than shown on thin evidence. These are recorded values, not predictions.

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