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When Does ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) Actually Move? Hourly Ranges on 5 minute Charts

Educational reference. Measured from 17,615 recorded 5 minute bars of E-mini S&P 500 through October 19, 2026.

10:00 is the busiest hour, averaging 7.00 per bar — 4.0× the quietest hour at 19:00.

The same stop is a different stop at different times of day. This is the median high to low range of a single 5 minute bar of E-mini S&P 500, hour by hour, measured from 17,615 recorded bars over the last 90 days.

Hour (ET)Median rangeBars
00:001.75768
01:002.25768
02:002.50768
03:003.00768
04:003.25768
05:002.50768
06:002.50768
07:003.25768
08:003.75768
09:005.25768
10:007.00768
11:005.75768
12:004.75768
13:004.25757
14:004.00756
15:004.00756
16:002.50756
17:002.0062
18:002.25704
19:001.75768
20:003.00768
21:002.50768
22:002.25768
23:002.00768
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

The spread across the day

The busiest hour is 10:00, averaging 7.00 per bar. The quietest is 19:00 at 1.75. That is a 4.0× difference across the same instrument, the same timeframe, the same trading day.

A stop sized for 19:00 conditions will be caught routinely at 10:00, and a stop sized for 10:00 gives away far more than it needs to overnight. The same number of points does not mean the same thing at every hour.

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How this was measured

Every 5 minute bar of E-mini S&P 500 recorded in the last 90 days was grouped by the hour it opened, in Eastern time. The figure shown is the median of high minus low within each group — the middle bar of that hour, not the average, so a single outlier session cannot distort it. Hours with fewer than 60 recorded bars are omitted rather than shown on thin evidence.

These are recorded market ranges, not predictions. Nothing on this page is a projection.

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