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Do MES and MGC Move Together on 5-minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through September 23, 2026. Not a forecast.

Micro E-mini S&P 500 and Micro Gold are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 9,059 time-aligned 5-minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

Bars where both moved8,365
… and moved the same direction5,234  (62.6%)
Correlation of bar-to-bar changes+0.401
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Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

At 62.6% agreement and a correlation of +0.401, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 5-minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar-to-bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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Questions traders ask

How accurate is a 5 minute prediction for day trading? On the 5 minute MES chart LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 candles, about 2 hours ahead, and redraws them as each 5 minute candle closes. Candlestick prediction →

AI trading copilot for MES A screenshot in a general chatbot shows only one moment. LiveCharts.AI's chart chat reads the live MES chart, every new bar and its predicted next candles, so you can ask where MES is predicted to go. Chat with a trading chart →

App with predicted candlesticks for MES LiveCharts.AI is an AI charting and prediction app built for futures day traders: live MES charts, predicted candles up to 30 bars ahead and an AI chat that explains the chart, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac. Futures prediction app →

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