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Do M2K (Micro Russell 2000 Futures) and MCL (Micro Crude Oil Futures) Move Together on 30 minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through October 8, 2026. Not a prediction.

Micro E mini Russell 2000 and Micro Crude Oil are often assumed to move in opposite directions. This measures it against 1,505 time aligned 30 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

Bars where both moved1,453
… and moved the same direction547  (37.6%)
Correlation of bar to bar changes-0.402

At 37.6% agreement and a correlation of -0.402, these two have a moderate tendency to move in opposite directions on this timeframe.

This is an inverse pair. When one rises the other tends to fall. Holding both is not doubling a bet — but it is not a complete hedge either, and the indicator pages below show where that breaks down.
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · August 2026The LiveCharts.AI leaderboard comparing instruments
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 30 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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