Does MACD Agree on GBPUSD and SPY? (5-minute Charts)

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Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through September 11, 2026. Not a forecast.

MACD measures momentum, as the distance between two moving averages. This page asks a narrower question than the price comparison: when MACD moves on British Pound / U.S. Dollar, does it move the same way on SPDR S&P 500 ETF?

Bars where MACD moved on both	2,062
… and moved the same direction	1,068 (51.8%)
Price correlation, same period	+0.403

MACD disagrees more than price does. Prices correlate at +0.403, which would suggest agreement near 63%. MACD manages 51.8%. The two markets move together while this reading does not — the gap is where a divergence setup would show up.

Why this is not the same as the price question

Two markets can move together while their momentum, trend strength or volatility do not. A reading that agrees far less than price suggests is exactly where one market is losing steam while the other keeps going — and a reading that agrees more is tracking something shared that direction alone does not capture.

Questions traders ask

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