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Do ETHUSD (Ethereum) and MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) Move Together on 5 minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through October 23, 2026. Not a prediction.

Ethereum and Micro E-mini S&P 500 are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 9,096 time aligned 5 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

Bars where both moved8,623
… and moved the same direction5,554  (64.4%)
Correlation of bar to bar changes+0.402

At 64.4% agreement and a correlation of +0.402, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.

EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart with several indicator panels
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 5 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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Questions traders ask

Next 30 5 minute candles Yes. LiveCharts.AI predicts ETHUSD on the 5 minute chart as on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, with the predicted indicators beside the predicted candles. Candlestick prediction →

Ethereum future OHLC candle prediction LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 candles of Ethereum on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, drawn on the live chart. It is a prediction, not a certainty, so LiveCharts.AI publishes how its recent ETHUSD predictions compared with what happened. Candlestick prediction →

AI prediction dashboard for traders for ETHUSD LiveCharts.AI is a prediction app for Ethereum: open the ETHUSD chart on any timeframe and the predicted path appears next to the real one. 7 day free trial. Futures prediction app →