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Do ES and YM Move Together on 5-minute Charts?

Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through September 25, 2026. Not a forecast.

E-mini S&P 500 and E-mini Dow are often assumed to move together. This measures it against 8,897 time-aligned 5-minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.

Bars where both moved8,095
… and moved the same direction6,445  (79.6%)
Correlation of bar-to-bar changes+0.402
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart with several indicator panels
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

At 79.6% agreement and a correlation of +0.402, these two have a moderate tendency to move together on this timeframe.

Where the relationship breaks down

Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.

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How this was measured

Every 5-minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar-to-bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.

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