Do ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) and MCL (Micro Crude Oil Futures) Move Together on 15 minute Charts?
Educational reference. Measured from recorded market data through November 3, 2026. Not a prediction.
E-mini S&P 500 and Micro Crude Oil are often assumed to move in opposite directions. This measures it against 2,943 time aligned 15 minute bars over the last 45 days — no opinion, just what the two actually did.
| Bars where both moved | 2,783 |
|---|---|
| … and moved the same direction | 1,085 (39.0%) |
| Correlation of bar to bar changes | -0.401 |
At 39.0% agreement and a correlation of -0.401, these two have a moderate tendency to move in opposite directions on this timeframe.
Where the relationship breaks down
Prices moving together does not mean everything else does. The indicator pages below measure each reading separately — and momentum, trend strength and volatility frequently disagree even when price does not.
See LiveCharts.AI predicting both ES and MCL live — 7 day free trial →
How this was measured
Every 15 minute bar recorded for both instruments in the last 45 days was aligned by timestamp. Bars where either did not move are excluded from the direction figure, since a flat bar agrees with nothing. Correlation is measured on bar to bar changes, not on price levels — two markets can both drift upward for unrelated reasons, and correlating levels would call that a relationship.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
ES 15 minute price range prediction Yes. LiveCharts.AI predicts ES on the 15 minute chart as on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, with the predicted indicators beside the predicted candles. Candlestick prediction →
AI software that projects future S&P 500 E-mini Futures prices next 30 bars LiveCharts.AI is an AI charting and prediction app built for futures day traders: live ES charts, predicted candles up to 30 bars ahead and an AI chat that explains the chart, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac. Futures prediction app →
Can AI predict forex charts? LiveCharts.AI is built for futures, forex, crypto and stocks. On each chart it predicts the next 30 candles and where the indicators go next, and its AI chat explains the chart, as it does for S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES). All markets →
More questions traders ask
Spacex stock price prediction S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent ES predictions next to what happened. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Verizon stock price LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Dow and nasdaq today Open the ES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where S&P 500 E-mini Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past ES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →