YM (Dow E-mini Futures) DM: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini Dow — DM prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 70.0% | 75.3% | 23.3% |
| 5 Minute | 51.4% | 49.0% | 63.3% |
| 10 Minute | 90.3% | 83.6% | 80.0% |
| 15 Minute | 56.9% | 59.5% | 70.0% |
| 30 Minute | 62.7% | 72.9% | 66.7% |
| 45 Minute | 48.5% | 55.7% | 66.7% |
| 1 Hour | 52.5% | 44.5% | 60.0% |
Track record: does the ADX / DMI prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 64% | +22% | 271 |
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 64% | +14% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 59% | +9% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 57% | +6% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 55% | +3% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 15, 2:00 AM ET with YM's ADX / DMI at 16.88, it said higher 12 hours later (19.36); it was at 32.63 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 10 Minute at 80.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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