SI (Silver Futures) DM: which timeframe is most reliable?
Silver — DM prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 57.6% | 62.1% | 63.3% |
| 10 Minute | 57.4% | 78.9% | 63.3% |
| 15 Minute | 66.0% | 85.5% | 66.7% |
| 45 Minute | 45.7% | 54.4% | 76.7% |
| 1 Hour | 53.8% | 68.2% | 40.0% |
Track record: does the ADX / DMI prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 61% | +14% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 59% | +13% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 59% | +12% | 271 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 57% | +9% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 57% | +9% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 10 minutes ahead | 56% | +8% | 297 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 19, 2:20 PM ET with SI's ADX / DMI at 30.24, it said lower 1 hour later (22.14); it was at 28.96 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 45 Minute at 76.7%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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