NG (Natural Gas Futures) Stochastics: which timeframe is most reliable?
Natural Gas — Stochastics prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 53.4% | 60.3% | 76.7% |
| 5 Minute | 57.8% | 55.1% | 53.3% |
| 10 Minute | 51.7% | 56.7% | 33.3% |
| 15 Minute | 54.3% | 51.6% | 30.0% |
| 30 Minute | 52.0% | 61.6% | 93.3% |
| 45 Minute | 72.3% | 61.6% | 70.0% |
Track record: does the Stochastics prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 77% | +4% | 271 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 72% | +3% | 271 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 15, 6:00 AM ET with NG's Stochastics at 60.17, it said lower 12 hours later (34.74); it was at 21.61 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 30 Minute at 93.3%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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