NG (Natural Gas Futures) DM: which timeframe is most reliable?
Natural Gas — DM prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 63.5% | 76.3% | 73.3% |
| 5 Minute | 59.3% | 61.9% | 80.0% |
| 10 Minute | 54.1% | 51.9% | 33.3% |
| 15 Minute | 70.4% | 85.5% | 76.7% |
| 45 Minute | 43.9% | 67.3% | 70.0% |
| 1 Hour | 44.6% | 52.8% | 73.3% |
Track record: does the ADX / DMI prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 64% | +21% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 66% | +19% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 62% | +18% | 271 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 63% | +15% | 271 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 19, 12:20 PM ET with NG's ADX / DMI at 11.40, it said higher 1 hour later (16.96); it was at 13.15 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5 Minute at 80.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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