MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) VWMA: which timeframe is most reliable?
Micro E-mini S&P 500 — VWMA prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 65.8% | 91.6% | 98.0% |
| 5 Minute | 54.9% | 78.7% | 98.0% |
| 10 Minute | 58.4% | 79.9% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 54.7% | 64.1% | 98.0% |
| 1 Hour | 44.6% | 73.4% | 98.0% |
Track record: does the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 78% | +8% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 5, 2:00 AM ET with MES's Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) at 7,729, it said lower 12 hours later (7,714); it was at 7,510 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
Micro S&P 500 Futures VWMA crossover prediction LiveCharts.AI predicts where the VWMA goes next on MES, up to 30 bars ahead, next to the predicted candles, and publishes how its recent VWMA predictions compared with what happened. Predictive indicators →
Can ChatGPT read a MES trading chart? Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live MES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →
Live MES track historical AI prediction accuracy AI can give a prediction for MES, not a certainty. LiveCharts.AI shows its measured record on Micro S&P 500 Futures next to each prediction, so its reliability can be checked. Can AI predict futures prices? →
More questions traders ask
S&P index today Open the MES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Micro S&P 500 Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past MES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Sp500 futures ticker For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Dow and nasdaq futures today LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →