MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) SMA: which timeframe is most reliable?
Micro E-mini S&P 500 — SMA prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 65.8% | 91.4% | 98.0% |
| 5 Minute | 55.8% | 79.7% | 98.0% |
| 10 Minute | 58.4% | 80.1% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 53.9% | 63.5% | 98.0% |
| 1 Hour | 38.9% | 68.8% | 70.0% |
Track record: does the Simple Moving Average (SMA) prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 74% | +6% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 81% | +5% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 4, 8:00 AM ET with MES's Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 7,591, it said higher 12 hours later (7,694); it was at 7,715 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
SMA direction prediction for MES Yes. Alongside the regular SMA, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted SMA for MES on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
ChatGPT trading chart for Micro S&P 500 Futures Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live MES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →
Micro S&P 500 Futures AI predictions as candles form LiveCharts.AI updates the MES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
More questions traders ask
S and p 500 today Open the MES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Micro S&P 500 Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past MES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Best sectors to invest in right now LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
America share market today For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →