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MES Keltner Channel: which timeframe is most reliable?

Micro E-mini S&P 500 — Keltner Channel prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.

TimeframeConfidencePositionDirectional
1-Minute60.9%85.8%98.0%
5-Minute61.4%92.4%96.7%
10-Minute55.0%83.7%98.0%
15-Minute64.2%91.3%98.0%
30-Minute44.6%69.2%98.0%
45-Minute54.7%77.9%98.0%
1-Hour54.4%76.6%98.0%
Measured outcomes, refreshed through the session.

On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1-Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.

A LiveCharts.AI chart with several indicators plotted and projected forward

How to read this

Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.

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