MBT (Micro Bitcoin Futures) DM: which timeframe is most reliable?
Micro Bitcoin Futures — DM prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 50.2% | 58.7% | 26.7% |
| 5 Minute | 58.2% | 58.8% | 76.7% |
| 10 Minute | 59.0% | 59.5% | 43.3% |
| 15 Minute | 52.9% | 64.4% | 76.7% |
| 30 Minute | 53.1% | 53.9% | 43.3% |
| 45 Minute | 54.4% | 75.9% | 93.3% |
| 1 Hour | 63.6% | 68.6% | 56.7% |
Track record: does the ADX / DMI prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 64% | +15% | 296 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 58% | +13% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 60% | +12% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 16, 11:00 AM ET with MBT's ADX / DMI at 23.14, it said lower 12 hours later (14.01); it was at 14.71 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 45 Minute at 93.3%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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