GC (Gold Futures) DM: which timeframe is most reliable?
Gold — DM prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 68.2% | 83.9% | 90.0% |
| 5 Minute | 64.8% | 80.7% | 98.0% |
| 10 Minute | 64.0% | 80.9% | 83.3% |
| 15 Minute | 68.3% | 84.3% | 93.3% |
| 30 Minute | 61.6% | 77.8% | 83.3% |
| 45 Minute | 48.2% | 59.5% | 56.7% |
| 1 Hour | 56.9% | 68.9% | 73.3% |
Track record: does the ADX / DMI prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 60% | +12% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 62% | +11% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 61% | +7% | 271 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 59% | +6% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 19, 1:25 PM ET with GC's ADX / DMI at 7.05, it said higher 1 hour later (12.05); it was at 21.95 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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