ES VWMA: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini S&P 500 — VWMA forecast accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-Minute | 55.4% | 62.2% | 80.0% |
| 5-Minute | 47.2% | 51.0% | 98.0% |
| 15-Minute | 47.7% | 61.6% | 98.0% |
| 30-Minute | 56.7% | 71.5% | 98.0% |
| 45-Minute | 49.9% | 69.0% | 98.0% |
| 1-Hour | 54.5% | 77.1% | 96.7% |
Measured outcomes, refreshed through the session.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5-Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live forecast itself is generated inside the platform.
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