ES ATR: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini S&P 500 — ATR forecast accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Minute | 54.4% | 73.9% | 66.7% |
| 10-Minute | 51.4% | 55.4% | 60.0% |
| 15-Minute | 52.6% | 58.4% | 63.3% |
| 30-Minute | 40.8% | 61.9% | 63.3% |
| 1-Hour | 44.9% | 61.7% | 63.3% |
Measured outcomes, refreshed through the session.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5-Minute at 66.7%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live forecast itself is generated inside the platform.
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