MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 22 2026 2:49 PM ET
At 2:49 PM ET on Tuesday, September 22, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 18/28 bars — 64.3% |
| Net direction from start | 19/30 bars — 63.3% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,835.00 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,826.00 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,843.20 |
| Size of the move | projected 8.20 vs actual 9.00 (0.91×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 64.3%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 63.3%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.91×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
AI answers questions about candles for Micro S&P 500 Futures Yes. The LiveCharts.AI assistant answers from the MES chart on your screen, the recent bars, the predicted path and the indicators. It does not place trades or promise outcomes. AI trading assistant →
Can AI continuous AI analysis for Micro S&P 500 Futures? LiveCharts.AI updates the MES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
Chat with a MES trading chart A screenshot in a general chatbot shows only one moment. LiveCharts.AI's chart chat reads the live Micro S&P 500 Futures chart, every new bar and its predicted next candles, so you can ask where MES is predicted to go. Chat with a trading chart →
More questions traders ask
S&P futures live Open the MES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Micro S&P 500 Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past MES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Us100 futures For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Sp500 futures ig Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent MES predictions next to what happened. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →