MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 16 2026 9:43 AM ET
At 9:43 AM ET on Wednesday, September 16, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 15/24 bars — 62.5% |
| Net direction from start | 30/30 bars — 100.0% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,674.50 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,669.25 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,669.79 |
| Size of the move | projected 4.71 vs actual 5.25 (0.90×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 62.5%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 100.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.90×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
Live MES predicted candles for today Today's and tomorrow's MES prediction is live in the LiveCharts.AI app; the record of past Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions compared with what happened is on the market page. Market prediction page →
How often do AI candle predictions match for MES? It depends on the chart and how far ahead. LiveCharts.AI publishes how often its recent MES predictions got the direction right, chart by chart, so you can compare before relying on one. Can AI predict futures prices? →
Best AI tool for intraday MES charts? For day trading Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI predicts the next candles on the 1, 5, 10 and 15 minute charts and redraws the prediction as each bar closes, so you see when it changes during the session. AI tools for day traders →
More questions traders ask
Stocks live charts The LiveCharts.AI MES chart shows the real Micro S&P 500 Futures candles together with the predicted next 30 candles and the predicted indicators, drawn ahead of the last bar on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Stock market quotes today Open the MES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Micro S&P 500 Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past MES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Spdr ETF price Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent MES predictions next to what happened. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →