MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 16 2026 6:50 AM ET
At 6:50 AM ET on Wednesday, September 16, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 17/26 bars — 65.4% |
| Net direction from start | 20/30 bars — 66.7% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,671.75 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,673.50 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,673.72 |
| Size of the move | projected 1.97 vs actual 1.75 (1.13×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 65.4%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 66.7%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.13×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
AI tools for day traders on Micro S&P 500 Futures For day trading Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI predicts the next candles on the 1, 5, 10 and 15 minute charts and redraws the prediction as each bar closes, so you see when it changes during the session. AI tools for day traders →
Will MES rise or fall today? LiveCharts.AI predicts the MES path for the rest of today and tomorrow on every timeframe. It is a prediction, not a certainty; the market page shows how recent ones turned out. Market prediction page →
AI price prediction reliability for Micro S&P 500 Futures AI can give a prediction for MES, not a certainty. LiveCharts.AI shows its measured record on Micro S&P 500 Futures next to each prediction, so its reliability can be checked. Can AI predict futures prices? →
More questions traders ask
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All trading chart patterns The LiveCharts.AI MES chart shows the real Micro S&P 500 Futures candles together with the predicted next 30 candles and the predicted indicators, drawn ahead of the last bar on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
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