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MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 15 2026 10:24 AM ET

Educational reference. Data through Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 10:24 AM ET on Tuesday, September 15, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 10:24 AM ET
7,658.377,674.137,689.8810:24 AM12:54 PM
What actually happened — 10:24 AM to 12:54 PM ET
7,658.377,674.137,689.8810:24 AM12:54 PM
Per bar direction agreement18/27 bars — 66.7%
Net direction from start23/30 bars — 76.7%
Bars projected30 × 5 minute
Price at prediction time7,679.25
Where it actually ended7,665.75
Where the projection ended7,663.04
Size of the moveprojected 16.21 vs actual 13.50 (1.20×)
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 66.7%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 76.7%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.20×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

Questions traders ask

Chat with a MES trading chart Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live MES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →

Best AI tool for intraday MES charts? LiveCharts.AI shows the predicted next 30 candles of MES on intraday charts and lets you ask the chart what it expects for the rest of the session. AI tools for day traders →

Live MES AI chart context analysis Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MES chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →

More questions traders ask

S&P 500 today chart The LiveCharts.AI MES chart shows the real Micro S&P 500 Futures candles together with the predicted next 30 candles and the predicted indicators, drawn ahead of the last bar on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

SPY price Open the MES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Micro S&P 500 Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past MES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

S and p 500 chart LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

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