MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 15 2026 7:34 AM ET
At 7:34 AM ET on Tuesday, September 15, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 18/26 bars — 69.2% |
| Net direction from start | 20/30 bars — 66.7% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,674.00 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,665.50 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,678.31 |
| Size of the move | projected 4.31 vs actual 8.50 (0.51×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 69.2%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 66.7%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.51×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
MES current market outlook AI Today's and tomorrow's MES prediction is live in the LiveCharts.AI app; the record of past Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions compared with what happened is on the market page. Market prediction page →
Micro S&P 500 Futures AI assistant explains predicted candles Yes. The LiveCharts.AI assistant answers from the MES chart on your screen, the recent bars, the predicted path and the indicators. It does not place trades or promise outcomes. AI trading assistant →
AI candlestick chart analysis for MES Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MES chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →
More questions traders ask
Walt disney stock price Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent MES predictions next to what happened. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Tsx futures today LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
AI predicting stock market For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →