MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 14 2026 8:34 AM ET
At 8:34 AM ET on Monday, September 14, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 18/29 bars — 62.1% |
| Net direction from start | 28/30 bars — 93.3% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,675.50 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,636.50 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,611.66 |
| Size of the move | projected 63.84 vs actual 39.00 (1.64×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 62.1%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 93.3%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.64×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
What AI tools help day traders on MES? For day trading Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI predicts the next candles on the 1, 5, 10 and 15 minute charts and redraws the prediction as each bar closes, so you see when it changes during the session. AI tools for day traders →
Can AI read and explain MES bars? LiveCharts.AI is an AI chart reader and analyzer: on the MES chart it shows the predicted next 30 bars and the predicted indicators, and answers questions about the chart. AI chart analysis →
MES live futures chart analysis LiveCharts.AI updates the MES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
More questions traders ask
S&P stock market today Open the MES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Micro S&P 500 Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past MES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Most accurate trading signals LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
1 trading signal chart The LiveCharts.AI MES chart shows the real Micro S&P 500 Futures candles together with the predicted next 30 candles and the predicted indicators, drawn ahead of the last bar on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →